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Behind the Ticker

Nick Frasse, Van Eck

The Space ETF Built to Let the Winners Win

·29 min
Mass-to-orbit economics: the cost of putting a kilogram into orbit has fallen from roughly $50,000 in the shuttle era toward under $200 with Starship, reframing space from a specialty sector into economic infrastructureInside WARP, VanEck's Space ETF: 20 pure-play holdings, a 50 percent revenue threshold for inclusion, and index rules written to stay flexible as the industry evolvesThe four building blocks of the portfolio: satellite communications, rocket and propulsion, earth observation and data, and space explorationWhy SpaceX is in the fund even though the S&P would not include it, and what that says about building for a theme rather than a benchmarkThe honest read on space revenue today, still largely government and defense driven, and why Nick expects the commercial share to grow toward a market projected at $1.8 trillion by 2035

Nick Frasse did not take the usual route into product management. He started at an advisory firm that fizzled out, spent a stretch fielding hundreds of mutual fund calls a day at Franklin, and then landed at VanEck, where he sat on the internal wholesaler desk for five years before crossing over into building the products themselves. That background shows up in how he talks about funds. He's been on the phone with the advisors who actually have to explain a holding to a client, and it colors the design choices he defends.

The conversation centers on WARP, VanEck's space fund, and the pitch is more concrete than most thematic stories. It runs through one number. It used to cost roughly $50,000 to put a kilogram into orbit in the shuttle era. With Starship, that figure is heading under $200. When the cost of doing something drops that far, it stops being a specialty and becomes infrastructure. Space stops being about rockets. It's shipping, communications, data, and industries that don't exist yet. Frasse frames the opportunity at roughly $600 billion today, with projections toward $1.8 trillion by 2035.

Built for the Theme, Not the Benchmark

What stood out is that Frasse is honest about the parts most issuers gloss over. He built the fund around 20 pure-play names with a 50 percent revenue threshold, which is a high bar on purpose. He wrote the index rules to stay flexible, because he expects the industry to look different in three years and doesn't want a rigid definition to lock the fund out of where the money actually goes. He also included SpaceX when the S&P wouldn't, which tells you whether the vehicle is built to follow a theme or follow a benchmark.

He's just as clear about what the fund is today versus what it's betting on. A lot of the revenue in space right now is still government money flowing through defense contractors, and he would rather own that transition honestly than dress up the current mix. VanEck has a long track record of being early to things that looked strange at the time, from gold to emerging markets to Bitcoin, and Frasse sees space as the next name on that list.

Let the Winners Win

The design philosophy is the part that actually matters. VanEck builds focused, market-cap-weighted vehicles and lets the biggest names run instead of trimming them back to feel diversified. Frasse's view is simple: his job is to hand the advisor clean, pure-play exposure and then get out of the way. Position sizing is the advisor's call, not the fund's. That's a more disciplined answer than most thematic products give, and it's why this one is worth the 29 minutes even if you never buy a share of anything in the space economy.

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